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| Iranian leader killed by Israel today |
There is little doubt that opinions about the war in Iran
are shaped less by facts than by attitudes toward the leaders prosecuting it.
While not universally true, it is hard to ignore the pattern: most opposition
comes from liberal Democrats who are no fans of the president or the prime
minister, while most support comes from conservative Republicans (aside from an
isolationist faction whose loyalty appears to be waning.) There are of course
other factors influencing public opinion. Like the war’s impact on the cost of
living. Nonetheless, I think my point stands
To be sure, arguments exist on both sides. But the central
question is straightforward: when all is said and done, is this war a net
positive or a net negative? And how far does either outcome extend?
I have argued in favor of confronting Iran before, and I do
not dismiss the concerns of those who disagree. But an honest look at the facts
on the ground prior to U.S. and Israeli action compared to the facts on the
ground now is in my view, a clear and significant net benefit.
Which brings me to a recent op-ed in the English-language
edition of Al Jazeera, the Qatari-funded outlet widely cited by mainstream
media during Israel’s war with Hamas. Coverage that was, unsurprisingly, far
from sympathetic to Israel. The piece, by Muhanad Seloom, carried the following
headline:
The US-Israeli strategy against Iran is working. Here is
why
With a subheading that read:
Every aspect of Iran’s ability to project regional power
is being successfully degraded.
In it, Seloom does a masterful job explaining why the war
was necessary and why he believes it is succeeding. His analysis is brutally
honest and does not mince words. He acknowledges the legitimate concerns of
those who oppose the war, even as he lays out the case for why it was
undertaken—and why, in his view, it is being won.
Rather than paraphrase, I will excerpt extensively from
Seloom’s analysis, which, to my mind, is difficult to refute. Especially given
his willingness to engage seriously with the strongest arguments on the other
side.
He begins by acknowledging the following:
Two weeks into Operation Epic Fury, the dominant narrative
has settled into a comfortable groove: The United States and Israel stumbled
into a war without a plan. Iran is retaliating across the region. Oil prices
are surging, and the world is facing another Middle Eastern quagmire. US
senators have called it a blunder. Cable news has tallied the crises.
Commentators have warned of a long war.
The chorus is loud and, in some respects, understandable.
War is ugly, and this one has imposed real costs on millions of people across
the Middle East, including the city I live in.
But this narrative is wrong...
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