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| The face of evil - Iran's foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif |
The deal was opposed by Israel at the time. Opposition in
this country broke down along left/right political lines. Democrats supported
it. Republicans opposed it. (The same left/right dichotomy was true in
Israel.)
Those that supported it said that – although it was not
perfect, it was the best deal they could get. Iran stopped all activities
involved in seeking nuclear weapons and allowed a tough but limited random
inspections regime to insure that they were keeping their part of the deal.
What it did not do is prevent them from pursuing it in the
future. It did the opposite. All it did was delay the inevitable development of
a nuclear weapon.
It also did not deal with Iran’s pursuit of missile
development designed to carry nuclear weapons that could be used
against Israel – an enemy they have sworn to wipe off the map; and even against
the US by developing long range missiles. That is ongoing.
They were also free to keep spreading terrorism. Something
they are guilty of. They are the biggest sponsor of terrorism in the world.
This deal does not address that at all.
When Netanyahu was invited to address congress by Speaker of
the House, John Boehner to explain why that deal was so bad, Republicans
praised his speech and wholeheartedly agreed with him. Democrats thought
he was the worst thing to hit America since John Dillinger. Some of them even
boycotted Netanyahu – calling it a Chutzpah to come here and lobby
against the policy of a sitting President.
Those who worked on the deal actually acknowledged it was
flawed but argued that it was the best deal they could get and invited anyone
that had a better idea to put it forward.
It is interesting to note that during the entire
time of concern about Iran’s nuclear program, they claimed that they were only
pursuing it for peaceful purposes; and that they would never seek nuclear
weapons since it was against their religious beliefs.
This was recently disproved. That claim turned out to be a
big lie by virtue of a daring raid into Iran by Israeli intelligence forces.
They spirited away tons of documents showing that Iran once had a robust
nuclear weapons program. The fact that Iran had meticulously
organized and stored those documents in a hidden archives shows that they
intended to one day restart a nuclear weapons program.
They want a bomb and they are going to get one. Eventually.
Unless they are stopped.
Back to the deal itself. President Trump has said that he
will announce today whether the US will scarp the deal as he promised he would
during the campaign. He has been advised and lobbied against that by our allies
whose leaders came here in person to do.
Those leaders were egged on by former Secretary of State,
John Kerry. Sad that a private citizen lobbied foreign governments
against current US policy. Sounds a bit like treason to me. But what
do I know. In any case, I digress.
It is however interesting to note that even though they
opposed leaving the deal, both France and England conceded that the deal should
be renegotiated. That is a long way off from their original position that the
deal must be honored as is. - because that is the one they all agreed to.
Obama’s Secretary of Energy, Ernest Moniz was one
of the key players that worked hard on that deal. He recently reiterated his
support for the deal saying that Israel’s discovery made it more
imperative than ever to maintain the deal because of its vigorous and random
inspections regime.
The problem with those inspections is that Iran is given
notice when it is to be inspected. That gives them time to find
ways to cover it up. Just as they did those nuclear bomb plans. Also, if I
understand correctly military bases are off limits to those
inspectors. I don’t understand how anyone can claim with absolute certainty
that Iran is honoring the deal – even with a ‘vigorous inspections regime’.
That hasn’t stopped all the purveyors of doom and gloom from
predicting the worst if the US unilaterally pulls out of the deal. Iran’s
foreign minister, Mohammad Javad Zarif, has promised severe consequences if we
did that. Kind of the way North Korea’s Kim Jong-Un did. That was actually
disputed by Iranian president Hassan Rouhani who said that if the rest of
Eurpoe continues to honor the deal, he would stay in it.
I actually agree with Zarif. There will be severe
consequences. For Iran - if those crippling sanctions are fully reinstated
and increased. Which I hope happens. That’s what brought them to the table in
the first place. And it will bring them to the table again. Despite their
promises to restart their nuclear program.
Netanyahu was right when he urged the US not to sign any
nuclear deal. His suggestion was instead to increase the sanctions. That would
have eventually gotten the world a better deal, in my view
What to do now.
Those sanctions should be reinstated and increased. Threats
to re-start their nuclear weapon program not withstanding. You can’t eat
nuclear weapons. Their economy was in shambles before those sanctions were
lifted. My understanding is that things are not that much better even now 2
years after they were lifted.
Iran may end up with a bomb, but they might just
have a revolution before they get a chance to use it. The Iranian people are
fed up with their government. Past attempts to overturn it prove that. Those
attempts were brutally crushed by the regime. But if their country is hit hard
enough by reinstating and increasing those sanctions, a popular
uprising and coup might succeed this time.
What worked with North Korea, will work here. A
President that is unpredictable; has the ability to wipe Iran off the map with
the push of a button at a moment’s notice; promises to use force if lines are
crossed and has proven that he will; and as Commander in Chief, has the full
power of the US military and our full arsenal of weapons at his
disposal... might just sober up those saber rattlers in Iran - the
same way it sobered up Kim Jong-Un.
I think it’s time we showed some muscle. Because this time
we have a President that doesn’t bluff.
Just my 2 cents.
Update
The President has announced US withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Iran.
Update
The President has announced US withdrawal from the nuclear deal with Iran.
