Friday, January 09, 2026

Is it Over for Iran?

Iran is burning 
Lorenzo Peter Berra - one of the great philosophical minds of the 20th century - once said, 'It ain’t over till it’s over'.

That sentiment captures how I am watching events unfold in Iran: with hope, prayer, and deep trepidation.

Iran is experiencing its largest uprising since the 1979 Islamic Revolution—the revolution that brought radical Islamists to power and imposed a brutal theocratic regime that still rules with a deadly iron fist. Dissent is not tolerated. Violations of Sharia law can carry the death penalty, as tragically demonstrated when a couple of years ago  a woman was executed for refusing to wear a hijab.

For 46 years, Iranians have lived under a government supported by the devout and feared by every other Iranian yearning to be free. Brave protesters have risen before, only to be crushed—often executed. That is how the regime has survived.

Iran’s tyranny has not been confined to its own borders. Its openly declared goal is the establishment of an Islamic caliphate, beginning with the destruction of Israel. It labels the United States the ‘Great Satan’ for defending the ‘Littler Satan’. Israel. And they have relentlessly pursued nuclear weapons to that end.

After years of sanctions, in 2015 the Obama administration bet on a deal that would remove sanctions in exchange for delaying nuclear development for 10 years. A deal that allowed Iran to continue funding and arming terror proxies like Hamas, Hezbollah, and militias in Yemen, Syria, and Iraq. All aimed at Israel. Naively assuming the regime would mellow in the interim.  That illusion ended when the new US administration scrapped the deal and harsh sanctions were reinstated.

That uneasy status quo collapsed on October 7, 2023, when Hamas invaded Israel, brutally massacred over1,200 innocent civilians, and abducted over 250  more.

That day changed everything...

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