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| A Satmar Chasid with his daughters in Williamsburg |
One of the things that many people seem to believe is that
the exponential rate of growth of the Charedi community is so vastly greater
than the growth of any other segment - that ultimately the future will be
theirs. Meaning that the rest of Orthodoxy will either be absorbed by them, or
will become so small in comparison that it will become either irrelevant, or
extinct altogether.
I am one of those people. The Charedim have won. By their growth and sheer determination they are the wave of the future. But I have a modified version
of that prediction. Moderate Charedim will populate the the new mainstream majority. It will also contain those I have called RWMO (right wing Modern Orthodox). And evolve into a sociological demographic I call the New Centrists. Rabbi Berel Wein was first made note of this phenomenon. And it is already in progress.
In brief what is happening is that both communities have adopted modalities of the other. So that
even if our Hashkafos are somewhat different, our lifestyles are not. Moderate Charedim and RWMO are both generally are well educated in
Limudei Kodesh and Limudei Chol. Both generally have solid careers where many are professionals.
We are both Koveiah Itim (establish fixed times for Torah study); Daven in the same Shuls;
send our children to similar – and occasionally the same schools; are very often
good friends, trust each other’s Kashrus; and our families interact socially each other. It is not that
uncommon to find a Chavrusa beween a
moderate Charedi and a RWMO learning together at night in a community Kollel.
Our differing Hashkafos are not a divisive issue socially. The extremes on both the right and left may continue to exist, but in my view will at best be marginalized.
Nothing new here. I have
mentioned all this before. Many times. But what I have not mentioned in this context is another demographic that is
perhaps the fastest growing demographic of all. One that has absolutely nothing
to do with the above phenomenon. The exponential growth of Satmar and like minded Chasidim. Does
that mean that I believe that Satmar is the wave of the future… that eventually
they will overtake the rest of Orthodoxy by their sheer population size? Based on linear projections, one might say
that will indeed happen. But I don’t think so, despite their continuing
and phenomenally rapid growth.
Currently Satmar Chasidim live in their own world and prefer to keep
it that way. The same is true of other Chasidic sects like Skvere. They will not ‘assimilate’ into any new
grouping. Their values are not the same
as the New Centrists at all. They live in a world apart from the rest of observant
Jewry.
They are not well educated in Limudei Chol. And although
they do work, they generally do not work as professionals. They do not attend
colleges and universities. They work at jobs that often do not pay a living
wage. Certainly not for a family of 12 or 13 is which is a very common family size. So a
great many of them live in poverty…. isolated from the rest of the world.
While it is true that there are some very wealthy Satmar
type Chasidim in trades like the diamond industry, construction, and other
businesses (like the wildly successful B&H) - they are the exception and
not the rule. Most Satmar Chasidim
barely eke out a living and more often than not have to be aided by free loan
societies.
There is an article in the Forward by a Frimet Goldberger. She was raised in the world of Satmar. Ms. Goldberger describes Satmar Chasidim as not only living isolated
lives, but as living very religiously demanding lives. More than any other religious demographic. Lives that are stricter
now than at any time in the history of Satmar. They have taken upon themselves Chumros
that that did not even exist during the life of their founding Rebbe, Rav Yoel
Teitelbaum. And he was pretty Machmir requiring the rejection of the outside world
in its totality.
His purpose was to insulate his Chasidim form the slightest
taint of non Jewish culture. His method
was to not only live in a tightly knit neighborhood - but to be as different from the rest of the
world as possible. That would make it
virtually impossible to see any commonlaity and thereby assimilate. That – combined with their extreme Tznius measures
makes them culturally incompatible with -
not only the secular world, but even
the moderate Charedi world. Not to mention the Modern Orthodox world.
Here is how Ms. Goldbeger describes it:
(The Satmar Rebbe) had railed against married women growing their hair underneath the turbans and wigs. After his death, most Hasidic women finally adhered to this rule – many out of fear of the severe ramifications of defiance. It is now the acceptable practice in Satmar to expel children from school if their mothers do not shave their heads. The Satmar Rebbe also decried the thin stockings and uncovered sheitels worn in the ‘60’s and ‘70’s. Now, most Satmar women wear thick, seamed stockings.
The latest Chumra is the blurring out faces of little girls
in their photos. Which did not exist when the Satmar Rebbe was
alive. She calls such radicalization alarming and not to be ignored.
In my view, all of these factors are the reason that we
should not project a victory for the Satmar way of life. This lifestyle is not
the wave of the future. Despite their rapid exponential growth. Insuring the isolation that has kept this
demographic together and intact, is no longer possible. The internet has just
about assured that. Especially now that one can access it in the palm of one
hand. Bans of technological advances like I-phones no matter how harsh the consequences simply are probably honored more in the breach than in adherence.
I am not saying that young people will drop out in significant numbers. Although going OTD is a growing problem for them like it is for every other religious demographic. But I do think that they will gradually see what the rest of the even Frum world has to offer and many will seek it out. The poverty
and strictures particular to this community will accelerate that process. They
will see that it is possible to be religious and not be as isolated as they
have been in the past. Modernity will catch up to them. Their increasing
poverty that their current lifestyle practically guarantees them will motivate
many of them to try another way.
They will see a growing new Centrism and
realize that there other legitimate ways to practice Judaism. I am not saying
that they will all eventually become new Centrists. Although not likley - it is not out of
the realm of possibility once they start seeking to better their lives materially.
More likely is a scenario to create
their own version of a centrist society – rebelling against that part of their
culture that keeps them poor – by seeking a better education and pulling back a
bit on their radically different appearances… like the insistence that all their
married women must save their heads.
I can’t predict the future. But what I think I can predict is
that this demographic is not the wave of the future as they are currently constructed.
