Thursday, October 15, 2026

A (Biased) Look at the Next Israeli Election

The issues are real, and his concerns are legitimate. But Dan Perry’s concern over the possibility of the President endorsing Netanyahu, thus giving him an edge in the upcoming election, is unwarranted. Not because he may be wrong. He may be right. But being right won’t really matter much with respect to the legitimate issues he’s worried about. Not only that, but even if some of those things get rectified by new leadership, Israel may be trading in one set of problems for another.

I understand Netanyahu’s negatives. They are well known and substantial. They have of late been regurgitated with a passion by his political opponents. Some of which are the following.

His dependence on the far-right parties of Ben-Gvir and the Charedi parties is a sore subject with most mainstream voters.

His refusal to take any responsibility for the October 7th massacre is another legitimate complaint.

There are also accusations by many that his motives in prolonging the war in Gaza are entirely political, as well as accusations that political considerations delayed the release of hostages, some of whom were killed because of those delays.

Then there is the corruption trial and other accusations of corruption, his alienation of former political allies, all in pursuit of retaining power.

There are accusations that he has alienated Democrats in Congress, thus destroying the once-bipartisan congressional support for Israel.

There is also his tacit support - or at least his willingness to look the other way - when violent, “Hilltop” type Jewish settlers terrorize Palestinians.

All really bad stuff, to be sure. And I’m sure there are many more issues that don’t come to mind at the moment. Netanyahu is probably at the lowest point in his popularity at this stage of his political career. My guess is that his chances of pulling off another victory and retaining power as prime minister by virtue of another far-right/Charedi coalition - are pretty slim.

And yet Perry seems to be worried about a Trump endorsement. Maybe Netanyahu’s chances aren’t as slim as many think. There is a reason for this. First as Perry noted, Trump is very popular in Israel. His endorsement of Netanyahu could sway the election

Then there’s this. October 7th did one thing for Netanyahu that no one else could: It moved many Israeli voters to the right, including many right-wing voters toward the extremist right. Someone recently mentioned a poll they had seen not long ago showing a substantial increase in support for Ben-Gvir’s extremist party, Otzma Yehudit. That could make a governing coalition with him even more likely, giving Ben-Gvir even more power.

That would be a terrible outcome. But would it be the worst outcome? I’m not sure.

That’s because the anti-Bibi opinion pieces completely disregard what Netanyahu has done for the country. Or they discount his accomplishments as either worthless or even damaging to Israel.

It’s amazing how differently one can view a set of accomplishments – as either very positive or very negative - based on one’s positive or negative opinions of the individual responsible for them. It’s hard to be objective when one has such strong biases…

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